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Market Update 1.9.26

Weather Updates:

  • Freeze protection services are currently active in Canada, ME, MN, ND, NH the Rocky Mountains, Siera Nevada and VT. For shipments containing freezable freight, please ensure freeze protection is added. Note that this may result in additional charges and possible transit delays.

Small Parcel Updates:

  • USPS Rate Increases: USPS shipping rates for Priority Mail, Priority Mail Express, USPS Ground Advantage, and Parcel Select are set to increase on January 18, 2026. The hikes will raise prices by about 5–8% depending on the service, while the First-Class Mail stamp will remain at 78 cents until at least mid-2026.

LTL Updates:

  • Diesel Rates: National diesel prices fell by $0.023 from last week, down six weeks in a row, averaging $3.477 per gallon, $0.084 lower than the same time last year. The Midwest region experienced the largest decrease, down $0.037 to $3.387 per gallon.

TL Updates:

  • Market Activity: Spot load posts were up 35.1% from last week, and spot truck posts decreased by 6.6%, primarily due to the holiday weekend. The Load-to-Truck Ratio (LTR) was up for vans, flatbeds and reefers.
  • Outbound Tender Rejection Index (OTRI): The OTRI peaked on Christmas Eve at 12.19. After dropping to 8.95 before the New Year, the OTRI has trickled back up to 9.84 this week. The holidays and Eastern Orthodox Christmas (1/7) have taken drivers off the road over the past few weeks. So long as there are no major weather disruptions, we can expect the OTRI to start trending downward in the coming weeks.
  • ‌‌Dry Van: National van demand increased by 44.4% to a 8.99-1 LTR nationally, with the highest demand spread across most the United States, other than CA and IL, exceeding 5.5+ to 1 LTR. The spot rate per mile (RPM) for dry vans is up $0.09 from December, averaging $2.38 nationally, with the Midwest holding the highest RPM at $2.63. The VOTRI currently sits at 9.09 compared to last week’s value of 10.51.
  • ‌Flatbed: National flatbed demand increased by 42.2% to 26.50-1 LTR, with the highest demand spread across most the United States, other than AZ, DE, MD, NJ, OK, TN and TX at over 18+ to 1 LTR. The flatbed spot RPM is up $0.06 from December, averaging $2.59 nationally, with the Midwest holding the highest RPM at $2.73. The FOTRI continues to decline. It currently sits at 12.11 compared to last week’s value of 17.84.
  • ‌‌Reefer: National reefer demand increased by 39.9% to a 20.02-1 LTR nationally, with the highest demand spread across most the United States, other than CT, MD, NC, OR, RI, SC, VT and WA at over 12+ to 1 LTR. The spot RPM for reefers is up $0.18 from December, averaging $2.88 nationally, with the highest rates in the Midwest at $3.17. The ROTRI continues to decrease week over week. The ROTRI currently sits at 18.61 compared to last week’s value of 21.59.

International Updates:

  • FBX Trends: Container rates were up from last week with the global average cost of an FBX container up 14% to $2,437, and the FBX01 container average increased 22% to $2,1617. The FBX03 increased 12% from last week to $3,757.
  • Port of LA: The port reported an 11.83% YOY volume increase from 21 scheduled vessels during the week of January 4,2026. For the week of January 11, volume is projected to decrease 14.10% YOY from 19 scheduled vessels moving 100,676 TEUs.

Embargoes:

There are no embargoes currently impacting our freight network.